Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: We will turn to an environment where antitrust agencies will not have instinctive aversion to large technology companies. We see that many private equity activities are increasing.Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Imperial Commercial Bank of Canada: cut the preferential loan interest rate in Canada by 50 basis points to 5.45%.
Public offerings frequently employ conservative products of fund managers to seek attack. Driven by the positive sentiment in the stock market, many fund companies have recently strengthened the "share" of products and the layout of specific tracks by hiring more aggressive fund managers. In the announcements of hiring fund managers by many fund companies, the importance of product "stock" and high flexibility track is highlighted. For example, some conservative funds hire fund managers who like high positions, some funds who buy dividend resources stocks hire internet fund managers, and some funds hope to strengthen the layout of hard technology and hire semiconductor fund managers. The insiders believe that Public Offering of Fund's offensive features in hiring more fund managers are related to his judgment on the positive rebound in the stock market. Many fund companies stressed that even if the market outlook index is average, structural opportunities will be highlighted and the profit-making effect will not decrease, which may be a market feature for a long time to come. (Securities Times)Coinbase: please note that some users may encounter higher transmission failure rate and delayed reception of BTC, LTC, ZCASH, BCH and DASH than usual.Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)
The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Brazilian President Lula will receive new treatment after brain surgery, and Brazilian President Lula will receive another medical procedure on Thursday, local time, after earlier this week, the Cirio-Lea banes Hospital said in a statement that his health condition was doubtful. The hospital said in a statement on Wednesday that Lula will undergo meningeal artery embolization. Thursday's treatment is aimed at preventing bleeding and reducing the risk. The hospital said in a statement that Lula was able to walk, do physical therapy and visit his family on Wednesday. The hospital said that he had no medical complications. In trading on Wednesday afternoon, the Brazilian real continued its upward trend, rising by 1.6% against the US dollar. Affected by this news, the benchmark Ibovespa stock index rose.Foreign media: Romania and Bulgaria have officially joined the Schengen area since 2025. According to Agence France-Presse, on the 12th local time, the European Commission approved that Bulgaria and Romania will officially become members of the Schengen area from January 1st, 2025. According to reports, Hungarian Interior Minister Pinter Shan Duoer said, "Welcome Bulgaria and Romania to join the Schengen area ... This is a historic moment." According to reports, Romania and Bulgaria became EU members in 2007. In March 2024, the two countries partially joined the Schengen area, and only the air and maritime border controls were cancelled. In November, the EU completed the final step of approving the two countries to join the Schengen area. (Zhongxin. com)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13